Settlement amounts in personal injury cases vary enormously by injury type, jurisdiction, liability strength, insurance limits, and economic damages. This page summarizes 2026 range estimates by injury category drawn from public sources including jury verdict research, the Insurance Information Institute (III), the National Safety Council, and the National Center for State Courts (NCSC). It is not a guarantee of settlement value and does not replace case-specific evaluation by a licensed attorney.

Reading the ranges: low-end values usually reflect minor injuries, fast resolution, low policy limits, and clear comparative-fault reductions. High-end values usually reflect serious permanent injury, complete liability, high coverage, plaintiff-friendly venues, and litigated rather than first-offer settlements. The "median" is more useful as a sanity check than a target — actual outcomes cluster heavily near low-end soft-tissue and high-end catastrophic.

How injury type drives valuation

Insurance carriers, plaintiff lawyers, and mediators typically value claims using three pillars: economic damages (medical bills, future care, lost wages, lost earning capacity, household services), non-economic damages (pain and suffering, disfigurement, loss of consortium, loss of enjoyment of life), and liability/coverage (fault percentage, available limits, umbrella policies, defendant solvency). Injury type drives all three pillars: a fractured vertebra requires more imaging, more specialist care, more rehab, and more permanent impairment than a sprain — and the non-economic component scales accordingly.

Jury verdict research from sources like Westlaw Verdict & Settlement Almanac, Jury Verdicts Research (Thomson Reuters), and TrialSmith shows wide outcome variance for the "same" injury. A herniated cervical disc with surgery in a venue like Bronx County or Cook County may settle 3-5x higher than the same injury in a rural conservative venue. The III's 2024 Auto Insurance Facts publication notes average bodily injury claim severity has risen 4-6%/year since 2020, faster than overall inflation, driven mostly by medical-cost inflation and litigation funding.

Whiplash and cervical/lumbar strain (soft tissue)

Whiplash is the most common auto injury claim. The III estimates whiplash represents over 60% of bodily injury claims by frequency. Insurance Research Council (IRC) 2024 data showed average whiplash claim economic loss of approximately $4,000-$8,000.

ProfileSettlement range 2026
Minor whiplash, no imaging, 4-6 weeks of conservative care$2,500 – $7,500
Cervical strain with PT, MRI showing minor disc bulge, 3-6 months treatment$8,000 – $25,000
Cervical strain + radiculopathy, EMG, 6-12 months treatment, no surgery$15,000 – $60,000
Documented herniated disc with continued symptoms, no surgery, in plaintiff venue$30,000 – $120,000
Cervical fusion or microdiscectomy + permanent restrictions$150,000 – $750,000+

Defense counsel commonly attack soft-tissue claims with: (1) gap-in-treatment arguments, (2) prior injury or degenerative-condition imaging, (3) low-impact biomechanical defense (Romansky, Croft, etc.), and (4) IME opinions assigning all symptoms to pre-existing degenerative disease. Plaintiff counter-strategies include treating physician deposition, AMA Guides impairment ratings, and contemporaneous documentation of work restrictions.

Broken bones / fractures

Fracture cases are valued based on bone, treatment intensity, surgical hardware, healing trajectory, and permanent impairment. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data on fracture-related work absences shows median 32 days lost work for upper extremity fractures, 45 days for lower extremity, longer for pelvic/spinal.

Fracture typeSettlement range 2026
Simple wrist fracture, cast only, full recovery$15,000 – $45,000
Ankle fracture, ORIF (plates/screws), 6-9 month recovery$50,000 – $150,000
Tibia/fibula fracture, ORIF, partial impairment$75,000 – $250,000
Femur fracture with intramedullary nail, full recovery$100,000 – $400,000
Pelvic fracture with surgery, complications, permanent impairment$250,000 – $1.5M+
Comminuted vertebral fracture with fusion, paraplegia risk$1M – $7M+
Skull fracture with brain injury (see TBI section)see below

Hardware retention (plates left in body), nonunion or malunion, infection risk, and chronic pain syndrome (CRPS) substantially increase value. Future hardware-removal surgery should be included in the medicals projection.

Traumatic brain injury (TBI)

TBI is one of the highest-value injury categories because of cognitive, behavioral, and earning-capacity sequelae that can persist for life. The CDC publishes TBI data showing approximately 2.8 million ED visits, hospitalizations, or deaths attributed to TBI annually in the U.S. The Brain Injury Association of America provides severity classification (mild/moderate/severe) used in litigation.

TBI severitySettlement range 2026
Mild TBI / concussion, full recovery in 6-12 weeks$15,000 – $75,000
Mild TBI with persistent post-concussive syndrome 6+ months$75,000 – $400,000
Moderate TBI, neuropsychological deficits, return to work with accommodation$500,000 – $2.5M
Severe TBI, cognitive impairment, vocational loss$2M – $10M+
Catastrophic TBI requiring 24/7 care or vegetative state$5M – $50M+

TBI cases require neuropsychological testing (Halstead-Reitan, WAIS), neuroimaging (DTI, fMRI in some cases), life care plans, and vocational expert testimony. Mild TBI cases face strong defense pressure unless there is objective imaging or persistent measurable cognitive deficit. Moderate-severe cases hit policy limits in most auto cases (typically $100k-$500k) and require pursuit of UIM, umbrella, employer (vicarious liability), commercial vehicle, or product liability theories.

Spinal cord injury (SCI)

SCI is consistently the highest-value injury category. The National Spinal Cord Injury Statistical Center (NSCISC) estimates lifetime cost of SCI between $1.5M (incomplete paraplegia at age 50) and $5M+ (complete tetraplegia at age 25). Settlements often exceed lifetime cost when factoring non-economic damages.

SCI typeSettlement range 2026
Incomplete paraplegia (T1-S5)$2M – $12M
Complete paraplegia$5M – $20M
Incomplete tetraplegia$5M – $25M
Complete tetraplegia (high cervical, ventilator-dependent)$10M – $50M+

SCI cases routinely require ASIA Impairment Scale assessment, life care plans (Certified Life Care Planner), economic loss reports (Ph.D. economist), and home modification specialists. Settlements often involve structured settlements (IRC § 130) for tax-advantaged future periodic payments, special needs trusts (to protect Medicaid eligibility), and Medicare set-aside (MSA) accounts for Medicare-covered future medical needs.

Other injury types: burns, amputations, internal organ damage

Injury typeSettlement range 2026
Burn, 1st-2nd degree under 10% TBSA$25,000 – $150,000
Burn, 2nd-3rd degree 10-30% TBSA + skin grafting$250,000 – $2M
Burn, 30%+ TBSA, multiple grafts, permanent disfigurement$2M – $20M+
Finger amputation$75,000 – $500,000
Hand amputation$500,000 – $3M
Leg amputation below knee$750,000 – $5M
Leg amputation above knee + bilateral$2M – $15M
Splenectomy after blunt trauma$150,000 – $750,000
Liver/kidney laceration with surgery, full recovery$200,000 – $1M
PTSD diagnosis with documented treatment, secondary to physical injury$50,000 – $400,000

Liability and coverage adjustments

The injury-only valuations above assume 100% defendant liability and full coverage. Real-world settlements adjust:

  • Comparative fault: Reduces by plaintiff's percentage. In modified comparative jurisdictions (50% or 51% bar), plaintiff over the threshold recovers nothing.
  • Policy limits: Many cases settle at limits even when damages exceed limits. Average minimum auto liability in 2026: $25,000/$50,000 single state minimum to $250,000/$500,000 in some states.
  • Multiple defendants: Joint and several liability vs. several-only varies by state. Some states allow plaintiff to collect full damages from any defendant.
  • Insurance bad faith: Carrier refusal to settle within limits can expose to extra-contractual judgment exceeding limits.
  • Liens and subrogation: Medicare, Medicaid, ERISA, hospital liens, workers comp subrogation reduce net recovery to plaintiff.

Net recovery worksheet

For any settlement number to be meaningful, calculate net recovery:

  1. Gross settlement
  2. – Attorney fee (33-40% contingency typical)
  3. – Case costs (filing fees, expert fees, court reporters, exhibits)
  4. – Medicare/Medicaid liens (with negotiation)
  5. – ERISA plan reimbursement (subject to Sereboff, McCutchen, made-whole doctrine where preserved)
  6. – Hospital liens (state-specific)
  7. – Workers comp lien (if third-party PI claim layered with WC claim)
  8. – Health insurance subrogation
  9. = Net to client

A $250,000 settlement with $80,000 medical bills, $50,000 ERISA reimbursement post-negotiation, and 33% attorney fee plus $8,000 costs leaves approximately $77,250 net to client — about 31% of gross. This is why "we got a quarter-million" can mislead and why settlement evaluation must include lien strategy.

Frequently asked questions

Are these numbers a guarantee of settlement value?

No. Ranges reflect public jury verdict research and III/CDC/NSCISC data. Individual cases vary by jurisdiction, liability strength, coverage, treatment, and presentation.

Why is whiplash settlement so wide?

Outcomes depend on imaging, treatment duration, prior injury history, venue, defense strategy, and whether surgery is performed.

How are TBI cases proven without obvious imaging?

Through neuropsychological testing, persistent symptom documentation, vocational expert testimony, and DTI imaging where available.

Do these ranges include attorney fees?

Yes, gross settlement amounts before contingency fee, costs, and lien deductions.

What reduces a settlement most?

Comparative fault attribution, policy limits, defense liability theory, gap-in-treatment, and prior injury imaging.

Where do these data come from?

III, CDC, NSCISC, BLS, IIHS, jury verdict aggregators (Westlaw, Jury Verdicts Research). All public-source citations listed.

Cited sources